Zuri Berry

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My Week 11 NFL picks

Larry Fitzgerald is likely to do something outdiculous.

Cardinals at 49ers — What will stop this red and gold train? The answer here is simply not the Cardinals. Despite an outdiculous — yes, outdiculous (you’re welcome to pass along) — comeback win against the Philadelphia Eagles this past week, the Cards should not feel as confident going into this game against a relatively mistake free Niners team. Last week, they benefited from the foibles of a regressing Michael Vick and his two interceptions. The 49ers have a +13 turnover ratio — the best in the NFL. The Cardinals have a -3, tied for 21st in the league. Of course, the worry for the 49ers is that Larry Fitzgerald does something outdiculous — like his diving catch at the 1-yard line last week — that absolutely blows up the momentum in the game. Either way, I’m still going for the home team that’s on fire.
My pick: 49ers

Jets at Broncos — So here’s the deal: Mark Sanchez sucks. I’ve seen him play live now for two games and the regression is in full effect. But what’s more, the surrounding talent on his team — particularly on defense — is not as good as it has been the last two years. It’s really a team that’s running on fumes with a young quarterback that is just not getting it. On the other end, the Tim Tebow led Broncos are a effective machine. After passing the ball only eight times this past week, it’s safe to assume that this is going to be a run heavy game. Despite the Jets’ 8th ranked defense, I can see Tebow picking them apart with the option. That’s what he does .It’ll actually be funny.
My pick: Broncos

Bengals at Ravens — This seems like a good spot to pick an upset. The Ravens are up and down, and I don’t like it. There’s nothing to like about a team that is arguably the best in the AFC and then loses to Seattle Seahawks.
My pick: Bengals

Jaguars at Browns — I hate these two teams.
My pick: Browns

Panthers at Lions — The Cam Newton gravy train seems to be slowing considerably. In a 30-3 loss to the Titans — of all teams — he was 23 of 40 for 210 yards and an interception. It was a pretty pedestrian effort coming off a bye week. So I’ll hop of his bandwagon and back on to the Lions, which might be just as disappointing a team given their hot start. But it appears at least they have something going for them.
My pick: Lions

Buccaneers at Packers — I’d be an idiot to craft an argument against the Packers. I like being known as a smart guy. I think I am, I think I am, I think I am.
My pick: Packers

Bills at Dolphins — The Bills have hit a low themselves. The dismal play of Ryan Fitzpatrick, their inability to run the ball effectively, and dumbfounding losses are just nerve racking. And yet, they still pose a bigger threat in the AFC East than the Dolphins could ever hope for. However, I do like that Reggie Bush is getting more touches. He’s been on fire for me in my fantasy league for the last two weeks. Now only if Stevie Johnson could get off, too.
My pick: Bills

Raiders at Vikings — There’s something about the Raiders that isn’t right. Maybe it’s the lack of a healthy Darren McFadden. Or, less obviously, it could be Jason Campbell’s absence. I don’t know. But I do know that this is a good time for the Vikings to have a decent win and for Adrian Peterson to do something really amazing. It’s that time of year for him. Just a hunch.
My pick: Vikings

Cowboys at Redskins — Tony Romo is a surprise every week. Which one will we see this week. Well let me just say this: Even a bad Romo will help the Cowboys destroy the Redskins and Rex Grossman/Jon Beck/whoever. That DeMarco Murray kid has been a life savior for the ‘Boys.
My pick: Cowboys

Seahawks at Rams — It’s gotta be the Seahawks. The Rams had their surprise win two weeks ago. The Seahawks had theirs last week. But if talent were ever going to shine through, it would have to be a Seahawks team that is getting better. And, admittedly, they’re coached up.
My pick: Seahawks

Titans at Falcons — Matty Ice is more valuable than Chris Johnson. Never thought I’d say that.
My pick: Falcons

Chargers at Bears — How can you pick against the Bears right now? Devin Hester is ridiculous.
My pick: Bears

Eagles at Giants — Too much pass rush.
My pick: Giants

My Week 10 NFL picks

My gripe of the week is Penn State college football and Penn State students, and in a related note student riots, which have nothing to do with my NFL picks.

I can’t help it, I’ve been transfixed by the obvious lack of moral fiber in the Penn State program and the short-sighted reaction of its students body. All I can find myself thinking about in the aftermath of Joe Paterno’s firing — as well as the ouster of several prominent members of Penn State’s administration — is that at least the legal process involves adults who understand that there are things more important than football. Let’s try not to forget that.

And on to my picks, which are stellar as always.

Giants at 49ers — Just saw the Giants play last week against the Patriots and I have to say, I’m not impressed. Yeah, I get that they played well when they needed to. But Eli Manning is not the “Eli-te” quarterback Justin Tuck thinks he is. He misfired early and often against the Patriots. He won’t be able to do that against a 49ers defense that locks the run down (70.8 yards allowed per game) and is admirable against the pass, too (255.1 yards allowed per game). Brandon Jacobs won’t give him the relief that he got against the Patriots. Meanwhile, I don’t think their run defense is as good as their pass defense. Frank Gore is a key factor here. If he jumps off, which I think he will, the 49ers will continue their surprising win streak.
My pick: 49ers

Saints at Falcons — Is Matt Ryan better than Drew Brees? I don’t think so. But are the Falcons a better team than the Saints? Not even. And really, that’s all this comes down to. It would be silly to chalk it up to the run, which Atlanta is well groomed to defend. Not to forget offend, because Michael Turner can pack some serious punch. But it’s more to the fact that New Orleans is geared to throw the ball and the Falcons are not geared to defend the pass.
My pick: Saints

Titans at Panthers — Still on the Cam Newton hype over here. I’m even starting him in my fantasy league over Tom Brady, given the Patriots’ run focus nature against the Jets. But more so, he’s been dynamic against the run and the pass. His team hasn’t been great, but he has. Oh, wait …
My pick: Panthers

Steelers at Bengals — Some things will never change. The Steelers, while not infallible, are still better than the Bengals. However, I do expect this one to be close. Consider this a possible upset I was too chicken to call ahead of time.
My pick: Steelers

Rams at Browns — Again, I hate what the Browns are doing. So much so, at this point, to favor the lowly Rams.
My pick: Rams

Bills at Cowboys — Have the Bills come down to Earth? They’ve dropped three of their last five games, including last week’s loss to the division rival New York Jets. It hasn’t been pleasant, picking the Bills every week and being marginally correct. They’re about as consistent nowadays as the … wait for it … Dallas Cowboys. At 4-4, the Cowboys are hit and miss. What team are we getting this week? Is Tony Romo OK? Really? Who knows. Between the two, it’s just a matter of health and luck it seems. So for the sake of being consistent here …
My pick: Bills

Jaguars at Colts — Week in and week out, I crack jokes about the abhorrent state of the Indianapolis Colts. Who knew one quarterback meant so much to a franchise. It makes one wonder why the Colts never invested more in their running game or developed a gameplan that didn’t revolve around the quarterback position. It also makes one think about teams built in the same structure, like the Patriots, like the Saints and like the Packers. How would these teams survive minus their lauded signal callers? The 45 other guys who suit up on the field are dependent on these elite quarterbacks. Suffice it to say, the Colts will lose again because, as you know, Peyton Manning isn’t coming through that door.
My pick: Jaguars

Broncos at Chiefs — I want Tim Tebow to lose. I want the Chiefs to win. I like Todd Haley. I don’t like how Brady Quinn has been treated. My preferences are divergent, I know. But I also happen to believe the Chiefs are better overall team. Matt Cassell is a decent QB and they’ve got fairly good position players. But like the Browns-Rams matchup, this is definitely more about who I don’t like than who I do.
My pick: Chiefs

Redskins at Dolphins — All the Dolphins have to do is give Reggie Bush the ball. Not giving him the ball, provided seven weeks of unmitigated atrocious offense. In Week 1, the Fins actually competed against the Patriots. That’s because Bush was a huge presence (9 catches for 58 yards and 11 carries for 38 yards). In Week 9, Bush tore the roof off with 13 carries for 92 yards (7.1 average) and three catches for 50 yards. The result? The Dolphins first win of the season. My hypothesis: More touches for Bush puts the Dolphins in a better position to win.
My pick: Dolphins

Cardinals at Eagles — There’s no reason for the Eagles to lose this game. The only way that’s possible is if they do it to themselves, much like Monday night’s loss to the Chicago Bears. Michael Vick is obviously not as accurate as he was last year, leading to the dismissal of Kevin Kolb — who just so happens to be his opposing quarterback this week.
My pick: Eagles

Texans at Buccaneers — Arian Foster is the man. Yes, it’s that simple.
My pick: Texans

Ravens at Seahawks — These two teams aren’t even in the same class. After the Ravens beat the Steelers last week, I just don’t see who can beat them in the AFC — let alone in the weak NFC West.
My pick: Ravens

Lions at Bears — With Devin Hester possibly injured, there’s a significant amount of firepower off the field for the Bears. The Lions don’t have that problem.
My pick: Lions

Vikings at Packers — There’s no way the Vikings win this game with the way the Packers are playing. I won’t go into detail, but suffice it to say, there’s no beating the best of the best when your best player is constantly shunned in your team’s gameplan. (What’s the over/under on Adrian Peterson’s carries? 20? 25? How about ridiculous?)
My pick: Packers

Raiders at Chargers — I shouldn’t have to explain that I tweeted many days ago I was rooting for the Raiders in this one. I just think — and was proved right — that Philip Rivers and the Bolts are imploding. It’s gone from bad to worse. That’s not to say the Raiders are good, but it is to say the Chargers are bad.
My pick (was): Raiders

My Week 9 NFL picks

Peyton Hillis

Will Peyton Hillis ever dominate again? (Amy Sancetta / AP)

Seriously, you should jump on my hype. I pick winners, baby. I was 10-2 last week, now I’m 60-35 on the season.

A couple of things this season that are continually pissing me off. 1) Peyton Hillis needs to play. Injuries be damned, he’s a disappointment. 2) Why won’t they let Brady Quinn play? Is he really that bad? Worse than Tim Tebow?

If the NFL were to start the playoffs today, I’d pick the Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl. Even over the 49ers. But the real question is who would represent the AFC. I’m sure the Steelers, Patriots and Texans lead the conversation. Of those three, I’d have to give the nod to the Steelers now. But in eight weeks, things could change.

Here are my picks in Week 9:

49ers at Redskins — Does Frank Gore seem healthy? Like, healthy, healthy? I think so. His 134 yards on 31 carries last week were impressive. But I think it’s more impressive that through Week 8 of the NFL season he hasn’t sustained some major cataclysmic injury in the face of his latest contract. He’s actually living up to the money. Is that not awesome? Given the nature of players to sign for the big money and never perform at a high level again, I think so. As far as the Redskins, do they even matter? (No.)
My pick: 49ers

Broncos at Raiders — Once a heated rivalry, there’s no more Mike Shanahan or Al Davis to continue the hate. That’s OK, they both suck anyways. At least the Raiders have a good chance to be decent. But for that to happen, Carson Palmer has to get up to speed — and into football shape. And then, Darren McFadden has to be healthy. Only then, they’ll have a chance in the NFL. On the other end, Tim Tebow needs to get pulled. I think I tweeted at one point last week, what happened to Brady Quinn? Did he succumb to sudden invisible syndrome? Is he really not an option when you have to face the horribleness of Tebow, versus the horribleness of Kyle Orton. Why was he never given a serious shot, in Denver and Cleveland? Too many questions, not enough answers. I do have one answer, though. The Raiders are gonna kick tail.
My pick: Raiders

Jets at Bills — I don’t know how many weeks in a row this is me picking the Bills, but it pretty much shows how I think the team from Western New York has arrived, particularly in the AFC East. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Stevie Johnson and Freddie Jackson are an awesome trifecta. Meanwhile, the Jets are still figuring it out. My appreciation for Mark Sanchez’s undervalued talents is waning, as is my patience.
My pick: Bills

Seahawks at Cowboys – I think this is the week; the week in which the Cowboys hit rock bottom. There’s no other way but up. Also, I think they should fire their offensive coordinator. I lost a lot of respect for them after the Patriots game when they played not to lose, rather than to win.
My pick: Seahawks

Browns at Texans — I’m so pissed off at the Browns right now. Everything that has occurred with Peyton Hillis is just idiotic. He’s a great running back that is getting screwed over, screwed himself over a bit, and now everybody who decided to draft this talented waste is getting screwed over, too. On the other end, I like everything that the Texans are doing. Arian Foster is a beast.
My pick: Texans

Falcons at Colts — Do I need to say more than “Peyton Manning”?
My pick: Falcons

Dolphins at Chiefs — Winless Miami at Arrowhead Stadium against a hot Chiefs team. I don’t think I can honestly root for the underdog here, even though they have a good shot. But whatever the Dolphins do, please give Reggie Bush the ball. Fantasy Team No. 2 thanks you in advance.
My pick: Chiefs

Buccaneers at Saints — How crazy was last week’s loss to the Rams for the Saints? I can’t see them losing to a pretender like that again. No offense, Buccaneers. But they’re posers.
My pick: Saints

Bengals at Titans — The Bengals are streaky, but the Titans are worse. Chris Johnson is another offender of under performing fantasy football talent.
My pick: Bengals

Rams at Cardinals — Why the Rams, why the Rams, why the Rams? Why not? WHY NOT? They did just upend the Saints. And in doing so, they did just make every football fan turn their heads and collectively gasp, “W-T-F.” Did they turn a corner? Maybe. That’s certainly better than anyone can say for the Cardinals.
My pick: Rams

Packers at Chargers — Phillip Rivers is not going to like this loss any more than the one last week against the Chiefs. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense is just too good and too dominating. The Chargers defense, while decent, isn’t nearly up to par.
My pick: Packers

Ravens at Steelers — I was flummoxed when the Ravens destroyed the Steelers in Week 1. Who wasn’t? But after the Steelers, and in particular Ben Roethlisberger, got it together against the Patriots last week, there isn’t one iota of thought in my brain that says the Ravens can win this game. Everything favors the Steelers. But hey, I’ve been wrong before.
My pick: Steelers

Bears at Eagles — I don’t like the Eagles anymore. Is that a good enough explanation?
My pick: Bears

Last week: 10-2
Season: 60-35 (Doesn’t include Patriots games and some games missed early on, including all of Week 6.)

My Week 8 NFL picks

If Alex Smith remains his efficient self as of late, the 49ers will drop the Browns without a problem. (Rebecca Cook / REUTERS)

Last week’s picks were particularly hilarious because I went with the Raiders over the Kansas City Chiefs. Of course, I assumed Darren McFadden wouldn’t be injured or that Kyle Boller wouldn’t embarrass himself and his family. And I also thought that Carson Palmer couldn’t really embarrass himself because he’d probably just be handing the ball off all game. Ha. None of which was the case. But other than that, I’m pretty proud of my 7-6 week. I’ve got to go back and tally up the last couple of picks to give folks a sense of what my season is looking like. But I’m running out of time right now.

Without further ado, here are this week’s picks (sans the Patriots-Steelers):

Browns at 49ers – There are too many problems with the Browns to deal with a 49ers team that is on the come up. If Alex Smith can remain efficient, there’s no stopping this 49ers team that has all the intangibles for success.
My pick: 49ers

Dolphins at Giants — Sparano’s job is gone. In other news, Reggie Bush is officially on the trade block in all of my fantasy leagues.
My pick: Giants

Jaguars at Texans — While the Jaguars’ 12-7 win over the Ravens was inspiring last week, I doubt that the abysmal offensive output by Baltimore was more a credit to the Jaguars defense than it was to an abysmal Ravens offense. Arian Foster and, hopefully, a healthy Andre Johnson
My pick: Texans

Colts at Titans — What, still no Peyton Manning?
My pick: Titans

Vikings at Panthers — Christian Ponder is not better than Cam Newton. Just saying.
My pick: Panthers

Cardinals at Ravens — Arizona sucks. (I said it last week, too.)
My pick: Ravens

Redskins at Bills — I’m riding with the Bills. I think they can fix some of the mistakes coming out of the bye week. The Redskins are dead in the water.
My pick: Bills

Bengals at Seahawks — The Bengals are just better.
My pick: Bengals

Cowboys at Eagles — I have this strange feeling that this is the week. Dream week, perhaps. You read it here first.
My pick: Eagles

Saints at Rams — Is this really a choice?
My pick: Saints

Lions at Broncos — Tim Tebow is going down. No way he can play like crap for three quarters against this team. Oh, and Matthew Stafford, a real quarterback, is likely to play. Booyah!
My pick: Lions

Chargers at Chiefs — The Chiefs are a surprising team at 3-3 this season. But I have my suspicions. I should have more suspicions about the Chargers.
My pick: Chiefs

Last week: 7-6

My Week 7 NFL picks

Carson Palmer, far right, will be handing off the ball quite a bit in Week 7. (Ben Margot / AP photo)

So now I’m determined to get my weekly NFL picks up before the weekend — before Friday for that matter — because I know I’ll be too busy to write anything on Saturday or Sunday because of my other work-related duties. So if you’ve been paying attention, I missed my Week 6 picks. I know, last week was a toughie. But this week, I’m determined to grind it out. Here’s my picks, much in advance for this very reason. Going forward, my hope is that this will be posted on Wednesdays. Here’s hoping this doesn’t go down the tubes like all my other plans.

Without further ado:

Washington at Carolina — I’m in the Cam Newton camp. I even drafted him for my keeper league. But I like what the Redskins are doing despite changing quarterbacks this last week. Jon Beck looked decent in the preseason and I don’t think he’ll be as a big of a change as other teams around the league will experience with their changes under center.
My pick: Washington

Seattle at Cleveland — There is no upside to the Seahawks. They’re 30th in the league in offensive yards (288 yards per game), 27th in points scored (18.5 per game) and they’re not too good on defense either (18th in the league). On the other hand, Cleveland is dicking around with Peyton Hillis (totally ruining fantasy leagues everywhere) and they’re making Josh Cribbs unhappy. So, basically, I’m take stupid is over stupid does.
My pick: Cleveland

Atlanta at Detroit — The Lions should be coming off their high horse after getting their tails whipped by the San Francisco 49ers. This will be a tough game for them, but I expect Javhid Best (concussion symptoms) to play and Megatron, a.k.a. Calvin Johnson, to dominate and get more targets.
My pick: Detroit

Denver at Miami — Miami is another crappy team. They’re 30th in points scored (75), they’re 26th in defense (390.8 yards per game allowed). They haven’t been right since early 2010. And with Chad Henne on injured reserve, there is nothing to look forward to. On the other side, all eyes are a glitter with Tim Tebow taking the reigns. It’s a Kodak moment in the making.
My pick: Denver

San Diego at New York Jets — I just don’t think the Jets are that good. They’ve come back this season with a lot of the same players in place, and yet they’re still have one of the stupidest offenses in the NFL.
My pick: San Diego

Chicago at Tampa Bay — These are two comparable teams that really are a toss up. I don’t think either deserves to make the playoffs this year.
My pick: Chicago

Houston at Tennessee — I still like the Texans this season. They shouldn’t be doubted. However, there has to come a point in which Chris Johnson plays like Chris Johnson again. Is it this week? I doubt it.
My pick: Houston

Pittsburgh at Arizona — Arizona sucks.
My pick: Pittsburgh

Kansas City at Oakland — Kansas City sucks. And that won’t overcome off-the-beach quarterback Carson Palmer getting inserted into the Raiders’ lineup. This is what Palmer is going to do: Call the play, look at the play on his wrist band, turn to Darren McFadden and ask what he’s supposed to do, snap the ball, and hand off to McFadden as instructed by McFadden earlier. When Michael Bush is in the game, he’ll hand it off to him. Capiche? If things gets complicated, they can call a timeout and diagram a pass play.
My pick: Oakland

St. Louis at Dallas — St. Louis majors in suck. They’ve only scored 49 points this season. If this team were a dog or a horse, it would need to be put down. It’s that serious. Steven Jackson is playing in a wasteland. And he’s splitting carries with Cadillac Williams. Ugh.
My pick: Dallas

Green Bay at Minnesota — Christian Ponder is about to be, as they say, baptized in fire. He can have an amazing night all he wants — which I doubt — but he won’t have any control over the opposing offense, which is ripping to shreds every single team it faces. It’s going to be a massacre.
My pick: Green Bay

Indianapolis at New Orleans — Still waiting on Peyton Manning. What was supposed to be a couple of weeks has now turned into seven. Is the season in the balance now, too?
My pick: New Orleans

Baltimore at Jacksonville — Jacksonville is quietly getting better. It was nice to see my old friend and Jaguars receiver Jason Hill get some love in Sports Illustrated. Pick him up as a sleeper. But on the reals, the Jags got no shot if Baltimore is on its game. And judging by Jacksonville’s defense (8th in the league), they’re gonna need it.
My pick: Baltimore

My Week 5 NFL picks

Chris Johnson

Can Chris Johnson get a touchdown? Like, for real.

This time, I’m writing my NFL picks with plenty of time to spare so you can actually read them before the games start. I know, I know. I treat you too well.

As usual, sans Patriots. (Should be an exciting Pats-Jets game, right? I’ll be there. Follow along @zuriberry.)

Buccaneers at 49ers — Here’s the thing, the Bucs have won some good games this year. Beating the Falcons is no laughing matter and the Colts are still a good team, they’re just shooting holes in their feet without Peyton Manning to lead them. However, I don’t like how the Buccaneers’ good vibe from 2010 has already dissolved. It was literally wiped away with a Week 1 loss to the Detroit Lions. Yes, those same Lions that are kicking tail all over the league. But apparently, they’ve moved on. I just don’t think they’re the same team that won 10 games last year. Also, I don’t like them because they’re playing the 49ers.
My pick: 49ers

Eagles at Bills — I think the Bills got a little bit cocky last week, coming off a Week 3 win against the New England Patriots. It showed against the Bengals, of all teams. I think they’ll correct their mistakes and get hungry again. As for Vick and the Eagles, I don’t see how they turn it around unless Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson have one of those oh-my-God games.
My pick: Bills

Chiefs at Colts — Anyone but the Colts.
My pick: Chiefs

Seahawks at Giants — The Giants got this. They’re just a more polished team.
My pick: Giants

Bengals at Jaguars — The Bengals are up and down each week. This time, they’ve got a team that’s down every week.
My pick: Bengals

Saints at Panthers — There’s a lot of firepower in this game, what with Carolina’s Cam Newton and the many weapons Drew Brees has at his disposal for New Orleans. This is about as good a time as any for an upset.
My pick: Panthers

Titans at Steelers — There’s no way the Steelers defense aren’t reeling from the loss of James Harrison this weekend, particularly with a running back as explosive as Chris Johnson (getting up to speed after a lengthy holdout) on the other side of the ball. Gotta like what Matt Hasselbeck (107.1 QB rating) is doing in Tennessee. And for goodness sake, can Johnson score a touchdown?!??!?!?! He’s been a waste on Fantasy Football teams.
My pick: Titans

Raiders at Texans — Will the Raiders play inspired in the wake of Al Davis’ death? Will it be enough. Andre Johnson is out for the Texans. They still have Arian Foster. And Ben Tate. Oh, and Owen Daniels. The Raiders have Darren McFadden.
My pick: Texans

Cardinals at Vikings — Ugh. This is going to be a smackdown.
My pick: Adrian Peterson

Chargers at Broncos — The Chargers are a good football team. They have a lot of endearing qualities. Great quarterback, good running game, decent receivers and a reasonably leaky defense. The Broncos … not so much.
My pick: Chargers

Packers at Falcons — Green Bay is unstoppable now. It’s weird because yesterday I was just reminiscing about some of the community college quarterbacks I used to cover. They were really good. Yet Aaron Rodgers got a chance to play in the big show. Why? Because he is the best.
My pick: Packers

Bears at Lions — I’m now a converted Lion fan until Detroit’s oh-so-amazing wide receiver gets injured. (What? You know it’s coming. They’re still the Lions.)
My pick: Lions

Last week: 11-4
Season: 35-23

Let’s add up the first four weeks of picks, plus 49ers thoughts

Just as promised, I’m here to add up the totals from my weekly NFL picks and do a bit of reflecting — a week late.

I know, I know. But I’m a busy bee.

So the short and skinny of it is I’m 35-23 through Week 4, missing of course games the Patriots have played and two games in Week 1 I happened to forget. (I think I was just too late for the Thursday night opener with the Saints and Packers.)

In Week 3, I was an amazing 10-5 (15 games). I’ve gotten better each and every week after going 6-7 (13 games) in Week 1 and 8-7 (15 games) in Week 2. In Week 4, I dominated going 11-4.

My picks don’t take into account the spread.

My biggest surprise has been what’s been raising everyone’s eyebrows across the NFL: The Eagles’ porous start, the Bills’ 3-1 record, Cam Newton and the 4-0 Detroit Lions. Everything else, I’ll chalk up to the game.

But as for the 49ers, their 3-1 start has been nothing short of exciting. Mostly because I thought they’d just suck and the faithful would be inches closer to banning Alex Smith from the Bay Area. So far, he’s been an efficient do-nothing QB. He’s 72 of 105 passing for 795 yards and four touchdowns to only one interception. He’s got 97.7 QB rating and has been sacked 14 times. I can’t reasonably argue for more from this guy. However, I still eye him suspiciously. I mean, he’s bound to eff up, right? So the 49ers’ success — and I guess you can say Smith’s success — has been a pleasant surprise in a season full of them. Oh, and guys like Kendall Hunter — much like the Patriots’ Stevan Ridley — make me smile.

There’s a lot to smile about this season. And I don’t just mean my 60 percent success rate at picking games.

Week 4 NFL picks

Everything except for Patriots-Raiders, as per usual. But this time, just picks because I’m running late on time. Busy life, indeed.

Eagles at 49ers — I don’t bet against the 49ers.
My pick: 49ers

Falcons at Seahawks

My pick: Falcons

Steelers at Texans
My pick: Texans

Giants at Cardinals
My pick: Giants

Dolphins at Chargers
My pick: Chargers

Broncos at Packers
My pick: Packers

Jets at Ravens
My pick: Ravens

Colts at Buccaneers
My pick: Colts

Bills at Bengals
My pick: Bills

Titans at Browns
My pick: Titans

Lions at Cowboys
My pick: Lions

Panthers at Bears
My pick: Panthers

Redskins at Rams
My pick: Redskins

Saints at Jaguars
My pick: Saints

Vikings at Chiefs
My pick: Vikings

My Week 3 NFL picks

Paging Delanie Walker: More touchdowns needed. (Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

BUFFALO — As always, all the picks minus the Patriots game.

One special note: I need to add up my totals. I’ve been doing these things practically minutes before kickoff so I haven’t really had a chance. I’ll try and get that up some time Tuesday along with my thoughts on the 49ers’ start to the season.

49ers at Bengals — Both the Bengals and the 49ers came back down to reality with losses last week. However, only one of the two has an opportunity to actually get better.
My pick: 49ers

Texans at Saints — The Texans look really good … defensively.
My pick: Texans

Giants at Eagles — I think with Michael Vick back in the lineup, the Eagles are still the team to beat. Plus, the Giants are beat up.
My pick: Eagles

Dolphins at Browns — I’m just going to chalk myself up as a Peyton Hillis fan.
My pick: Browns

Broncos at Titans — Kyle Orton is my homeboy.
My pick: Broncos

Lions at Vikings — Seriously, what happened to the Vikings of a year ago? Two years ago? Also, I’m reneging on my hate of the Detroit Lions.
My pick: Lions

Jaguars at Panthers — This game is gonna suck. But even a dinged up Cam Newton is better than his rookie counterpart in Blaine Gabbert.
My pick: Panthers

Chiefs at Chargers — No doubts here.
My pick: Chargers

Jets at Raiders — I happen to think Oakland has a chance. It’s just a very small chance.
My pick: Jets

Ravens at Rams — Seriously?
My pick: Ravens

Falcons at Buccaneers — Matt Ryan and the Falcons are the team to beat in the NFC South.
My pick: Falcons

Cardinals at Seahawks — Another dud of a game. If I could, I’d pick neither. But I’ll favor a Pete Carroll team for the sake of his California ties.
My pick: Seahawks

Packers at Bears — This will be an awesome game, as usual. However, I don’t think Chicago’s o-line holds up.
My pick: Packers

Steelers at Colts — No Peyton Manning, no problem. (Sounds familiar?)
My pick: Steelers

Redskins at Cowboys — I’m becoming a Tony Romo believer. Enough said.
My pick: Cowboys

My Week 2 NFL picks

The 49ers surprised me last week even though I picked them. (Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

Here’s my Week 2 NFL picks. As always, the Patriots are omitted because I’m covering them.

Cowboys (-3) at 49ers (+3) — I assume the Cowboys will come out motivated after their fourth quarter meltdown to the New York Jets. But I refuse to go against the 49ers, especially after their feel good win against the Seahawks last week.
My pick: 49ers

Bears (+7) at Saints (-7) — Drew Brees did have a phenomenal game in Week 1, as did his Saints. But I don’t think that merits a 7-point spread against the Bears, however hapless they may seem.
My pick: Bears

Chiefs (+8) at Lions (-8) — No, I’m not succumbing to the hype. I don’t care if the Lions are playing the Chiefs. They’re still the Lions and that’s still an 8-point spread.
My pick: Chiefs

Jaguars (+9) at Jets(-9) — Until noted otherwise, take the other guy.
My pick: Jets

Raiders (+4) at Bills (-4) — Every week the Bills amaze me with their solid output despite a lack of talent in numerous areas. I don’t see them overcoming a Raiders team that is getting better every week though.
My pick: Raiders

Cardinals (+4) at Redskins (-4) — Rex Grossman isn’t as gross as I thought.
My pick: Redskins

Ravens (-6 1/2) at Titans (+6 1/2) — The Ravens looked really good against the Steelers. They actually made me feel bad.
My pick: Ravens

Seahawks (+14 1/2) at Steelers (-14 1/2) — The Seahawks have no chance with a vengeful Steelers team in Week 2.
My pick: Steelers

Packers (-10 1/2) at Panthers (+10 1/2) — Green Bay rolls.
My pick: Packers

Buccaneers (+3) at Vikings (-3) — I still think the Bucs are a good team despite last week’s blunder. The Vikings, on the other hand, seem to be worse than previously thought.
My pick: Bucs

Browns (-1 1/2) at Colts (+1 1/2) — This is a good time for Peyton Hillis to get rolling. The Colts without Peyton Manning aren’t really the Colts, are they?
My pick: Browns

Texans (-3) at Dolphins (+3) — I liked what I saw out of the Dolphins last week while I was in Miami, but Houston appears to be on another level. They’re thinking playoffs.
My pick: Texans

Bengals (+3 1/2) at Broncos (-3 1/2) — I’m still wondering how a quarterback-less team can beat an NFL franchise.
My pick: Broncos

Eagles (-3) at Falcons (+3) — Michael Vick returns to the dome and dominates.
My pick: Eagles

Rams (+7) at Giants (-7) — New York, New York.
My pick: Giants